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 NXN Boys & Girls Team Projections for 2014

Purpose  ... The purpose of these projections is to get a General Idea of team strength based on speed ratings ... The purpose is NOT to predict exactly where each and every runners will finish (that is impossible no matter how good the data) ... I want ONLY an overall idea of where teams MIGHT finish relative to each other.

These projections could be considered similar to the "Morning Line" of a horse race ... I'm trying to provide information to bettors.

Speed is only one factor used in handicapping races and speed can be inconsistent for some runners ... See the "Importance of Speed Ratings in Handicapping NXN Nationals" article for additional information.

Three Team Scores are posted below:
 .. (1) The Overall Morning-Line Team Scores ... a combination of the overall ratings listed below PLUS some manual manipulation (based on historical trends or current information) to try and projection what "bettors" might actual consider a starting point for wagering ... Personally, I might actually bet somewhat differently.
 .. (2) Team Scores Using NXN Regional Speed Ratings
 .. (3) Team Scores Using State Meet Speed Rating (Note - for California, the actual CA State Meet ratings are applied to NXN Region (since it was the CA NXN qualifier) ... CA Section Final speed ratings used for "State" scores below)

See text files of data (worksheets of various team speed ratings by race):
 .... Boys Data File of Speed Ratings ]
 .... Girls Data File of Speed Ratings ]

Initial projections posted on December 2, 2014  .... Actual Results Posted Dec 6, 2014 ....

 .... Actual Results Posted Dec 6, 2014

[ Girls Projections ]

 

 Boys NXN Projected Team Scores 2014 ... Fayetteville-Manlius & American Fork - Very Close
 
                                                                  ACTUAL RESULTS 
 Overall Morning-Line Team Scores - Boys                 
                                                                       
                                                                                                  Pred
  1   Fayetteville-Manlius   NY    139  (New York  )          1   Fayetteville-Manlius NY    111  (1 )
  2   American Fork          UT    144  (Southwest )          2   Wayzata              MN    159  (10)
  3   La Salle Academy       RI    179  (Northeast )          3   North Central        WA    178  (9 )
  4   St. Anthony's          NY    180  (New York  )          4   Liverpool            NY    191  (6 )
  5   Davis                  UT    193  (Southwest )          5   American Fork        UT    195  (2 )
  6   Liverpool              NY    225  (New York  )          6   Davis                UT    200  (5 )
  7   Sandburg               IL    237  (Midwest   )          7   Ventura              CA    224  (11)
  8   Christian Brothers     NJ    240  (Northeast )          8   St. Anthony's        NY    251  (4 )
  9   North Central          WA    242  (Northwest )          9   Edina                MN    262  (21)
  10  Wayzata                MN    260  (Heartland )          10  Jurupa Hills         CA    269  (12)
  11  Ventura                CA    263  (California)          11  Christian Brothers   NJ    271  (8 )
  12  Jurupa Hills           CA    289  (California)          12  Timpanogos           UT    285  (13)
  13  Timpanogos             UT    315  (Southwest )          13  Severna Park         MD    299  (16)
  14  Carmel                 IN    330  (Midwest   )          14  Daniel Boone         TN    302  (17)
  15  Summit                 OR    331  (Northwest )          15  Sandburg             IL    328  (7 )
  16  Severna Park           MD    340  (Southeast )          16  Carmel               IN    363  (14)
  17  Daniel Boone           TN    350  (Southeast )          17  Summit               OR    368  (15)
  18  Sioux Falls Lincoln    SD    392  (Heartland )          18  La Salle Academy     RI    372  (3 )
  19  Southlake Carroll      TX    394  (South     )          19  Southlake Carroll    TX    384  (19)
  20  Brea Olinda            CA    400  (California)          20  Brea Olinda          CA    399  (20)
  21  Edina                  MN    418  (Heartland )          21  Sioux Falls Lincoln  SD    409  (18)
  22  The Woodlands          TX    419  (South     )          22  The Woodlands        TX    544  (22)



         Team Scores Based on                                  Team Scores Based on
        NXN Regional Speed Ratings                           State Meet (or Sectional) Speed Ratings

 1   La Salle Academy       RI    153    (Northeast )          1   Fayetteville-Manlius   NY    100
 2   Fayetteville-Manlius   NY    170    (New York  )          2   American Fork          UT    138
 3   American Fork          UT    170    (Southwest )          3   St. Anthony's          NY    193
 4   Ventura                CA    181    (California)          4   Brea Olinda            CA ** 209 ***
 5   Davis                  UT    194    (Southwest )          5   Liverpool              NY    216
 6   St. Anthony's          NY    219    (New York  )          6   North Central          WA    226
 7   Liverpool              NY    239    (New York  )          7   Christian Brothers     NJ    231
 8   Sandburg               IL    241    (Midwest   )          8   Summit                 OR    252
 9   Brea Olinda            CA ** 252 ** (California)          9   La Salle Academy       RI    253
 10  Jurupa Hills           CA    255    (California)          10  Wayzata                MN    258
 11  Christian Brothers     NJ    267    (Northeast )          11  Jurupa Hills           CA    271
 12  Wayzata                MN    272    (Heartland )          12  Davis                  UT    275
 13  Carmel                 IN    299    (Midwest   )          13  Ventura                CA    277
 14  North Central          WA    333    (Northwest )          14  Sandburg               IL    327
 15  Daniel Boone           TN    343    (Southeast )          15  Severna Park           MD    340
 16  Timpanogos             UT    347    (Southwest )          16  Daniel Boone           TN    347
 17  Summit                 OR    378    (Northwest )          17  Timpanogos             UT    349
 18  Sioux Falls Lincoln    SD    386    (Heartland )          18  Carmel                 IN    369
 19  Severna Park           MD    388    (Southeast )          19  Sioux Falls Lincoln    SD    373
 20  Southlake Carroll      TX    393    (South     )          20  Southlake Carroll      TX    438
 21  Edina                  MN    402    (Heartland )          21  The Woodlands          TX    492
 22  The Woodlands          TX    404    (South     )          22  Edina                  MN    498
 
   ** ** NOTE - the Brea Olinda Team Scores for States & Sectional include 
                Austin Tamagno who is running Footlocker instead of NXN ... 
                I left him in here to give perspective on placing.
		

Pre-Race Comments ... All ten years of NXN have demonstrated that most teams will NOT have their best race of the year at NXN ... Many runners will have speed ratings lower than the individual runner projections below (this is expected because national competition on a new course is a new type of experience for many runners ... add in traveling, time-changes, etc) ... Most runners perform best on familiar courses (typically local courses for them) ... The projected ratings are just a vehicle for projecting relative team scores.

The overall morning-line projected team scores above are based (in part) on the individual ratings below ... There were instances where I needed to make a "best guess" concerning ratings for individual runners with inconsistent speed ratings to approximate an overall-combined rating ... and incorporate possible inconsistencies into final projected team scores.

Many runners are not consistent from race-to-race (runners have good races, bad races and average races) ... That's why predicting a team score based of any one race MAY be misleading in terms of actual team ability ... I prefer a series of races (whenever possible) to identify runners with big variations in performance ... Then I need to figure-out how to handle these variations in predicting the next race (Handicapping can be both fun and frustrating) ... Notice the difference in team scores from NXN regional ratings and State Meet ratings above ... For example, La Salle Academy has the best team score based on performance at NXN regional races, but only 9th best based on performance at State Meets.

General Team Comments:

The morning-line at most horse tracks considers three factors: (1) past performance history of each horse, (2) an opinion of what people are likely to bet, and (3) a handicapping opinion of the person making the morning-line.

Entering NXN 2014, the two teams that appear to be at the top are Fayetteville-Manlius (NY) and  American Fork (UT) ... and based on performance at NXN regional races, La Salle Academy (RI) can be included.

Overall, this is a very good field of teams with some top talent ... Perhaps half the field has the talent to challenge for a podium position IF the team, as a whole, can perform ... As noted above, some of the teams are going to run "sub-par" creating an opportunity for other teams ... This "sub-par" factor applies equally to the girl's race.

Guessing which teams will run sub-par at NXN is exactly that - It's a Guess ... and predicting the exact order of finish is a "crap-shoot" to a certain degree .... Note: I expect the top three scoring teams may have lower scores than the predicted scores (that typically happens because many teams have "off" races which raises their score and lowers the score of teams that do run well).

Remember ... Teams performing at (or above) performance levels getting them to NXN Nationals typically jump up significantly in projected finish-positions.

Individual Team Comments:

Fayetteville-Manlius NY ... Fayetteville-Manlius finished 4th at NXN last year (I projected them 3rd) ... Based on their record-setting performance at Bowdoin Park last year, FM looked like a winner going Portland Meadows ... but I have suspicions of teams that have a season-best performance (noticeably the best) and then they must race the following week (or two weeks) against top teams after long travel distances (FM at NXN 2004 is another example) ..... Fayetteville-Manlius won this year's NXN regional with an "average" performance for them which I think sets them up for a good performance at Glendoveer Golf Course ... and I think the new NXN course is good for the FM guys ... It could be close contest between Fayetteville-Manlius and American Fork, but I'm giving the advantage to FM based on multiple excellent performances throughout the season .... It is scary picking both the FM guys and girls to win.

American Fork UT ... American Fork finished 7th at NXN last year and 2nd in 2012 ... American Fork has one of the best cross country programs in the nation ... They have been consistently good all season and could definitely win this race.

La Salle Academy RI ... La Salle was hampered early in the season with an injury to one of their top runners (Jack Salisbury) who has shown very nice improvement since returning ... La Salle popped a huge season-best performance in winning NXN Northeast ... and if La Salle duplicates that performance at NXN, they could definitely win ... As noted above, La Salle has the best team score based on NXN regional speed ratings ... But as suggested in the Fayetteville-Manlius write-up above, it is difficult to duplicate PR-type performances the following week against top teams after long travel distances.

St. Anthony's NY ... St. Anthony's has proven to be much better than I thought in the pre-season ... They have shown continual improvement throughout the season ... To be honest, I'm not sure what to expect from St. Anthony's at NXN, but I think they perform well ... and that puts them in a podium contending position.

Davis UT ... Davis had a big season-best performance at NXN Southwest and gave American Fork a scare (only a 3 point team score margin) ... At NXN Southwest, Davis had not raced in a month since the Utah State Meet ... and they have an extra week to recover from their season-best performance ... Davis enters NXN 2014 as a major contender for a podium spot, and perhaps, the top spot.

Liverpool NY ... New York could have three boys teams finish in the top 10 if all run well ... Liverpool finished 20th at NXN last year, but I suspect that one year of NXN experience will help Liverpool finish better this year ... Like the FM guys, I think the new Glendoveer course will help Liverpool.

Sandburg IL ... Sandburg won NXN Midwest by 78 points with a team spread (1st-to-7th) of only 15 seconds!!! ... Sandburg is an excellent pack-running team that has a real shot at the podium.

Christian Brothers NJ ... CBA-NJ finished 2nd at NXN last year, 4th in 2012 and won NXN in 2011 ... That says a lot ... Even though this year's CBA team has yet to reach those performance levels, they have shown contending ability and could challenge for a podium position with a top performance.

North Central WA ... North Central finished 8th at NXN last year and 3rd in 2012 ... North Central always seems to be a contender at NXN ... They have the top projected runner in Tanner Anderson (starting the team score with a low score is nice advantage).

Individual Race Comments:

The table below lists the top runners at NXN 2014 by approximate speed ratings (either overall or selected speed rating) ... 37 of the 50 runners listed below qualified as individuals (not on a team competing at NXN).

Tanner Anderson has run 200+ speed ratings on multiple occasions this season and is the favorite to win ... Tanner Anderson finished 3rd at NXN last year and is the top returning NXN runner ... Bryce Millar won the NXN-New York Regional and is the NY State Class A champion ... Olin Hacker has performed extremely well during the 2014 season, is the NXN Heartland champion and also qualified for Footlocker Nationals ... Adam Bernard won NXN Southeast handily ... Jesse Reiser won NXN Midwest and then qualified for Footlocker Nationals ... Will Lauer and Paul Roberts are definitely capable of challenging for a top position ... Benjamin Veatch is another Footlocker National qualifier.

Others in the list below are potential contenders ... Look how close this field sets-up (40 guys between 193 and 190 ... that's only a 9 second difference which means little in a 5K race)  ... Should be an interesting race.

 

 
Top Individual Runners (Both Team & Individual):  
                                                             
                                                              Speed
Name                  Grade     School              State     Rating    Region
--------------------  -----    -------------------  -----     ------    ---------
Tanner Anderson        12      North Central          WA       203      Northwest
Bryce Millar           12      Fayetteville-Manlius   NY       198      New York
Olin Hacker            12      Madison West           WI       197      Heartland    ** Individual
Adam Barnard           12      Daniel Boone           TN       196      Southeast
Jesse Reiser           12      McHenry                IL       195      Midwest      ** Individual
Will Lauer             12      Sioux Falls Lincoln    SD       195      Heartland
Paul Roberts           11      Lyons                  CO       195      Southwest    ** Individual
Benjamin Veatch        11      Carmel                 IN       194      Midwest
Phillip Rocha          11      Arcadia                CA       194      California   ** Individual
Eric Hamer             12      Palmer Ridge           CO       194      Southwest    ** Individual
Zac Jacklin            12      American Fork          UT       193      Southwest
Ryan Robinson          12      Waterford Mott         MI       193      Midwest      ** Individual
Marco Pompilj          12      Collegiate             NY       193      New York     ** Individual
Carlos Villarreal      12      Rio Rico               AZ       192      Southwest    ** Individual
Stuart McNutt          12      Blue Valley West       KS       192      Heartland    ** Individual
Sukhi Khosla           12      Leon                   FL       192      Southeast    ** Individual
Casey Clinger          10      American Fork          UT       192      Southwest
Zack Snider            12      Brebeuf Jesuit         IN       192      Midwest      ** Individual
Aidan Tooker           11      Saratoga Springs       NY       192      New York     ** Individual
Ben Petrella           11      Liverpool              NY       192      New York
Nikhil Pulimood        12      West Win-Pl South      NJ       192      Northeast    ** Individual
Keith Baird            12      Mount Academy          NY       191      New York     ** Individual
Matt Pereira           10      Lake Zurich            IL       191      Midwest      ** Individual
Joe Klecker            12      Hopkins                MN       191      Heartland    ** Individual
Jeremy Spiezio         12      Greenwich              NY       191      New York     ** Individual
Dan Dracup             12      Ithaca                 NY       191      New York     ** Individual
Ryan Clevenger         12      Downers Grove North    IL       191      Midwest      ** Individual
Ryan Nameth            12      Verona Area            WI       191      Heartland    ** Individual
Austin Gilbert         12      Ridgefield             CT       191      Northeast    ** Individual
Caleb Webb             12      Big Bear               CA       191      California   ** Individual
Connor Olson           12      Wayzata                MN       191      Heartland
Patrick Tucker         12      St. Anthony's          NY       191      New York
Alex Corbett           12      Lake Braddock          VA       191      Southeast    ** Individual
Carter Blunt           11      Frisco Independence    TX       191      South        ** Individual
Michael Teran          12      Jurupa Hills           CA       191      California
Blaise Ferro           11      Christian Brothers     NJ       191      Northeast
Jeremy Brown           11      Broughton              NC       190      Southeast    ** Individual
Alek Parsons           11      Ogden                  UT       190      Southwest    ** Individual
Franco Martins         12      Windermere Prep        FL       190      Southeast    ** Individual
Nick Wareham           12      Woodbury               MN       190      Heartland    ** Individual
Tyler Day              12      Mesquite               Az       190      Southwest    ** Individual
Brian Zabilski         12      Saugus                 CA       190      California   ** Individual
Robert Brandt          12      Loyola                 CA       190      California   ** Individual
Reilly Bloomer         12      South Eugene           OR       190      Northwest    ** Individual
Kevin James            12      Cardinal O'Hara        PA       190      Northeast    ** Individual
Jake Ogden             11      Dana Hills             CA       190      California   ** Individual
Tristan Peloquin       12      Gig Harbor             WA       190      Northwest    ** Individual
Craig Corti            12      Wallkill Valley        NJ       190      Northeast    ** Individual
Reilly Friedman        12      Galloway               GA       190      Southeast    ** Individual
Kyle Barber            12      Fayetteville-Manlius   NY       190      New York     



Where the BOYS Team Scores came from ... 
  (Overall Ratings based on NXN Regional, State Meet plus other available meets ...
    See Boys Data File of Team Data ....) 


Team Runners and Ratings by Team:
                                                             Overall
                                                              Speed
Name                  Grade     School              State     Rating    Region
--------------------  -----    -------------------  -----     ------    ---------

Zac Jacklin            12      American Fork          UT      192.4     Southwest
Casey Clinger          10      American Fork          UT      191.9     Southwest
McKay Johns            10      American Fork          UT      187.3     Southwest
Jacob Chase            12      American Fork          UT      178.8     Southwest
Joe Simmons            11      American Fork          UT      178.0     Southwest
Hagen Harmer           11      American Fork          UT      173.5     Southwest
Daniel Bentley         12      American Fork          UT      171.5     Southwest

Austin Shellito        12      Brea Olinda            CA      183.6     California
Gio Orellana           10      Brea Olinda            CA      178.5     California
Angel Escobar          12      Brea Olinda            CA      176.4     California
Chris Dedio            12      Brea Olinda            CA      168.8     California
James Lindstrom        12      Brea Olinda            CA      166.3     California
Jeffrey Sipple         12      Brea Olinda            CA      161.0     California
John Dempsey           9       Brea Olinda            CA      152.6     California

Benjamin Veatch        11      Carmel                 IN      193.8     Midwest
Theodore Browning      11      Carmel                 IN      176.9     Midwest
Thomas Revard          11      Carmel                 IN      176.5     Midwest
Jace Wisdorf           12      Carmel                 IN      174.0     Midwest
Benjamin Miller        9       Carmel                 IN      172.5     Midwest
Conor Lyons            10      Carmel                 IN      162.0     Midwest
William Harris III     9       Carmel                 IN      158.0     Midwest

Blaise Ferro           11      Christian Brothers     NJ      190.4     Northeast
Nick Trigani           11      Christian Brothers     NJ      180.0     Northeast
Josh Kruppa            12      Christian Brothers     NJ      178.5     Northeast
Sean Martinek          11      Christian Brothers     NJ      177.1     Northeast
Brian Dengler          11      Christian Brothers     NJ      176.0     Northeast
Jon Dooling            11      Christian Brothers     NJ      175.5     Northeast
Thomas Dengler         12      Christian Brothers     NJ      173.0     Northeast

Adam Barnard           12      Daniel Boone           TN      195.0     Southeast
James Garst            12      Daniel Boone           TN      181.4     Southeast
Josh Routh             11      Daniel Boone           TN      176.9     Southeast
Ben Varghese           10      Daniel Boone           TN      172.0     Southeast
Mitch Bronstetter      11      Daniel Boone           TN      165.1     Southeast
Zac Branham            10      Daniel Boone           TN      149.3     Southeast
Nick Roth              11      Daniel Boone           TN      143.5     Southeast

Stokton Smith          12      Davis                  UT      185.8     Southwest
Josh Ward              12      Davis                  UT      185.3     Southwest
Logan MacKay           11      Davis                  UT      182.0     Southwest
Colton Rimann          11      Davis                  UT      178.9     Southwest
Camren Todd            10      Davis                  UT      175.5     Southwest
Frasier Williamson     10      Davis                  UT      166.9     Southwest
Colter Blanchard       11      Davis                  UT      162.5     Southwest

Logan Ramlet           12      Edina                  MN      180.0     Heartland
Jonathan Shirley       11      Edina                  MN      174.0     Heartland
Jack Manderscheid      11      Edina                  MN      173.0     Heartland
Sam Thomas             11      Edina                  MN      172.5     Heartland
Patrick Roos           10      Edina                  MN      172.0     Heartland
Noah Chestler          11      Edina                  MN      153.0     Heartland
Sam Elliott            9       Edina                  MN      152.0     Heartland

Bryce Millar           12      Fayetteville-Manlius   NY      197.9     New York
Kyle Barber            12      Fayetteville-Manlius   NY      189.2     New York
Peter Ryan             11      Fayetteville-Manlius   NY      186.4     New York
Adam Hunt              12      Fayetteville-Manlius   NY      186.3     New York
Riley Hughes           12      Fayetteville-Manlius   NY      175.7     New York
Joe Walters            10      Fayetteville-Manlius   NY      175.3     New York
Jon Abbott             12      Fayetteville-Manlius   NY      161.0     New York

Michael Teran          12      Jurupa Hills           CA      190.5     California
Devon Reed             12      Jurupa Hills           CA      184.0     California
Luis Ortega            12      Jurupa Hills           CA      180.0     California
Brittan Reed           12      Jurupa Hills           CA      174.4     California
Jonathan Ray           12      Jurupa Hills           CA      166.1     California
Christopher Duarte     12      Jurupa Hills           CA      161.7     California
Isac Gonzalez          12      Jurupa Hills           CA      156.0     California

David Principe Jr.     10      La Salle Academy       RI      186.4     Northeast
Matthew Bouthillette   11      La Salle Academy       RI      183.2     Northeast
Jack Salibury          11      La Salle Academy       RI      179.6     Northeast
Dan Paiva              12      La Salle Academy       RI      179.3     Northeast
Jake Grundy            12      La Salle Academy       RI      178.3     Northeast
Christopher Notarianni 12      La Salle Academy       RI      169.0     Northeast
James Placco           12      La Salle Academy       RI      164.1     Northeast

Ben Petrella           11      Liverpool              NY      191.9     New York
Connor Buck            12      Liverpool              NY      183.2     New York
Dylan McCarthy         12      Liverpool              NY      181.9     New York
Dan Muldoon            12      Liverpool              NY      177.0     New York
Ty Brownlow            10      Liverpool              NY      172.9     New York
Nicholas Leclair       12      Liverpool              NY      168.4     New York
Ryan Comstock          11      Liverpool              NY      168.2     New York

Tanner Anderson        12      North Central          WA      203.0     Northwest
Andrew Vandine         12      North Central          WA      182.0     Northwest
Justin Janke           11      North Central          WA      181.7     Northwest
Sam Sjoberg            11      North Central          WA      175.2     Northwest
Jacob Christner        10      North Central          WA      172.5     Northwest
Hank Knight            10      North Central          WA      168.1     Northwest
Gabriel Meek           11      North Central          WA      161.5     Northwest

Sean Torpy             11      Sandburg               IL      180.4     Midwest
Tom Brennan            11      Sandburg               IL      179.5     Midwest
Chris Torpy            11      Sandburg               IL      179.0     Midwest
Greg Burzinski         12      Sandburg               IL      178.7     Midwest
Max Lehnhardt          11      Sandburg               IL      178.5     Midwest
Brandon Lukas          11      Sandburg               IL      175.0     Midwest
Martin Skucas          10      Sandburg               IL      174.1     Midwest

Kevin Hines            12      Severna Park           MD      180.0     Southeast
Clay Whitney           12      Severna Park           MD      176.9     Southeast
Andrew Forsyth         11      Severna Park           MD      175.8     Southeast
Josh Tucker            11      Severna Park           MD      173.9     Southeast
Jacob Derlink          12      Severna Park           MD      173.3     Southeast
Matt Cambon            11      Severna Park           MD      155.1     Southeast
Spencer Davis          11      Severna Park           MD      140.0     Southeast

Will Lauer             12      Sioux Falls Lincoln    SD      194.5     Heartland
Nathan Schroeder       12      Sioux Falls Lincoln    SD      174.3     Heartland
Gabe Peters            10      Sioux Falls Lincoln    SD      174.1     Heartland
Dreux Selzler          12      Sioux Falls Lincoln    SD      172.1     Heartland
Tyler Dobson           12      Sioux Falls Lincoln    SD      170.3     Heartland
Dale Loudon            11      Sioux Falls Lincoln    SD      167.2     Heartland
Anders Rasmussen       12      Sioux Falls Lincoln    SD      166.4     Heartland

Reed Brown             10      Southlake Carroll      TX      183.1     South
Elijah Canal           12      Southlake Carroll      TX      181.1     South
Timou Toure            11      Southlake Carroll      TX      172.0     South
Ansel Richards         12      Southlake Carroll      TX      171.9     South
Michael Waugh          11      Southlake Carroll      TX      169.1     South
Eric Karl              12      Southlake Carroll      TX      168.9     South
Johnny Kemps           12      Southlake Carroll      TX      160.0     South

Patrick Tucker         12      St. Anthony's          NY      191.3     New York
Frederick Buckholtz    11      St. Anthony's          NY      183.9     New York
Joseph Tucker          12      St. Anthony's          NY      181.9     New York
Ryan Kutch             11      St. Anthony's          NY      178.8     New York
Ryan Dearie            11      St. Anthony's          NY      177.6     New York
Michael O'Leary        11      St. Anthony's          NY      171.1     New York
Christopher Langer     11      St. Anthony's          NY      167.1     New York

Erik Fykerud           12      Summit                 OR      182.0     Northwest
Alex Martin            11      Summit                 OR      181.5     Northwest
Tyler Jones            12      Summit                 OR      177.0     Northwest
Thomas Schoderbek      10      Summit                 OR      173.5     Northwest
Chris Merlos           12      Summit                 OR      172.0     Northwest
Matthew Sjogren        12      Summit                 OR      168.0     Northwest
Grant Parton           12      Summit                 OR      158.5     Northwest

Daniel Golden          11      The Woodlands          TX      178.1     South
Eric Kroon             12      The Woodlands          TX      178.0     South
Matthew McClellan      11      The Woodlands          TX      172.3     South
Javier Erana           12      The Woodlands          TX      171.4     South
William Hunsdale       10      The Woodlands          TX      171.3     South
Noah Wells             10      The Woodlands          TX      170.8     South
Matthew Henderson      11      The Woodlands          TX      167.8     South

Koy Moore              12      Timpanogos             UT      178.9     Southwest
Will Handley           11      Timpanogos             UT      178.4     Southwest
Bo Farrer              12      Timpanogos             UT      177.7     Southwest
Joe Benson             10      Timpanogos             UT      177.5     Southwest
Brayden Allsop         12      Timpanogos             UT      173.4     Southwest
Cameron Benson         11      Timpanogos             UT      163.0     Southwest
Elijah Nimmer          11      Timpanogos             UT      160.9     Southwest

Garrett Reynolds       11      Ventura                CA      187.9     California
Evan Askar             12      Ventura                CA      183.5     California
Jordan Olson           10      Ventura                CA      178.5     California
Adan Cruz              11      Ventura                CA      175.5     California
Daniel Mountcastle     12      Ventura                CA      174.2     California
Nestor Rodriguez       11      Ventura                CA      171.1     California
Evangelista Francisco  12      Ventura                CA      166.6     California

Connor Olson           12      Wayzata                MN      191.0     Heartland
Jaret Carpenter        11      Wayzata                MN      184.5     Heartland
Ian Eklin              12      Wayzata                MN      180.0     Heartland
Andrew Quirk           12      Wayzata                MN      174.9     Heartland
Nicholas Shaleen       11      Wayzata                MN      171.5     Heartland
Jack Prazich           12      Wayzata                MN      170.0     Heartland
Kyle Brandt            11      Wayzata                MN      163.5     Heartland

 

GIRLS Projections:

 Girls NXN Projected Team Scores 2014 - Fayetteville-Manlius the favorite
 
                                                                    ACTUAL RESULTS
 Overall Morning-Line Team Scores - Girls             
                                                                    
                                                                                                  Pred
   1   Fayetteville-Manlius  NY    145   (New York  )         1   Fayetteville-Manlius NY    70   (1 )
   2   Carmel                IN    179   (Midwest   )         2   Great Oak            CA   149   (3 )
   3   Great Oak             CA    180   (California)         3   Carmel               IN   173   (2 )
   4   Naperville North      IL    216   (Midwest   )         4   Naperville North     IL   198   (4 )
   5   Palatine              IL    220   (Midwest   )         5   Desert Vista         AZ   199   (16)
   6   Saratoga Springs      NY    225   (New York  )         6   Wayzata              MN   240   (8 )
   7   Blacksburg            VA    230   (Southeast )         7   Blacksburg           VA   260   (7 )
   8   Wayzata               MN    242   (Heartland )         8   Lewisville Hebron    TX   272   (20)
   9   Camas                 WA    295   (Northwest )         9   La Salle Academy     RI   276   (12)
   10  American Fork         UT    295   (Southwest )         10  Saratoga             NY   278   (6 )
   11  Unionville            PA    302   (Northeast )         11  Saugus               CA   294   (13)
   12  La Salle Academy      RI    308   (Northeast )         12  Palatine             IL   314   (5 )
   13  Saugus                CA    310   (California)         13  Camas                WA   337   (9 )
   14  Coe-Brown             NH    322   (Northeast )         14  Willmar              MN   342   (22)
   15  Shenendehowa          NY    323   (New York  )         15  Davis                UT   347   (17)
   16  Desert Vista          AZ    330   (Southwest )         16  Coe-Brown            NH   360   (14)
   17  Davis                 UT    335   (Southwest )         17  Unionville           PA   372   (11)
   18  Green Hope            NC    336   (Southeast )         18  Shenendehowa         NY   380   (15)
   19  Coeur D'Alene         ID    375   (Northwest )         19  Green Hope           NC   383   (18)
   20  Lewisville Hebron     TX    375   (South     )         20  Coeur D'Alene        ID   390   (19)
   21  Lewisville Marcus     TX    389   (South     )         21  Lewisville Marcus    TX   427   (21)
   22  Willmar               MN    390   (Heartland )         22  American Fork        UT   442   (10)



      Team Scores Based on                                  Team Scores Based on
     NXN Regional Speed Ratings                              State Meet (or CA Sectional) Speed Ratings

 1   Fayetteville-Manlius  NY      128    (New York  )        1   Fayetteville-Manlius  NY       44
 2   Carmel                IN      180    (Midwest   )        2   Great Oak             CA      142
 3   Naperville North      IL      200    (Midwest   )        3   Carmel                IN      206
 4   Great Oak             CA      203    (California)        4   Naperville North      IL      213
 5   Blacksburg            VA      212    (Southeast )        5   Saratoga Springs      NY      228
 6   Palatine              IL      217    (Midwest   )        6   Palatine              IL      239
 7   Saratoga Springs      NY      232    (New York  )        7   Green Hope            NC      271
 8   Wayzata               MN      235    (Heartland )        8   American Fork         UT      278
 9   Unionville            PA      276    (Northeast )        9   Shenendehowa          NY      282
 10  Green Hope            NC      279    (Southeast )        10  Saugus                CA      286
 11  Saugus                CA      289    (California)        11  Wayzata               MN      288
 12  Coe-Brown             NH      318    (Northeast )        12  Camas                 WA      303
 13  Willmar               MN      324    (Heartland )        13  Coe-Brown             NH      311
 14  Desert Vista          AZ      328    (Southwest )        14  Blacksburg            VA      329
 15  Camas                 WA      333    (Northwest )        15  La Salle Academy      RI      338
 16  Shenendehowa          NY      347    (New York  )        16  Davis                 UT      355
 17  American Fork         UT      349    (Southwest )        17  Unionville            PA      360
 18  Lewisville Hebron     TX      349    (South     )        18  Lewisville Hebron     TX      365
 19  Lewisville Marcus     TX      396    (South     )        19  Desert Vista          AZ      369
 20  La Salle Academy      RI      398    (Northeast )        20  Coeur D'Alene         ID      371
 21  Davis                 UT      401    (Southwest )        21  Lewisville Marcus     TX      377
 22  Coeur D'Alene         ID      411    (Northwest )        22  Willmar               MN      455
		

Pre-Race Comments ... History has a habit of repeating itself and top high school cross country teams have a habit of returning to NXN Nationals ... Six of the top 10 girls teams from NXN 2013 return to NXN 2014 (including the top four teams from 2013 - Wayzata, Fayetteville-Manlius, Davis and Carmel)... and perennial favorite Fayetteville-Manlius NY is the favorite again.

This race could be very competitive at the top-end and a bunch of teams are in the hunt for a podium spot.

Fayetteville-Manlius, Carmel and Great Oak are projected in the top three spots ... Carmel gets the nod for the 2nd-spot based on previous results at NXN ... Naperville North, Saratoga Springs, Palatine, Blacksburg and Wayzata all seem relatively even-up and ALL are serious podium contenders.

Individual Team Comments:

Fayetteville-Manlius NY  ... Fayetteville-Manlius has won 7 of the last 8 NXN National Championships and are the favorite again after finishing 2nd last year ... This FM team has some similarities to last year's team because they are vulnerable, just like last year ... From a handicapping perspective, I can see FM winning by 50+ points or losing ... Computer simulations pick up that inconsistence nicely ... If FM performs similar to their sectional championship or McQuaid Invitational races, FM will lose NXN ... If FM performs similar to their NY State Meet, they will likely win by a significant margin ... And as noted above in team scores from NXN regionals (based on speed ratings), FM would win handily with that type of performance ... If two of their projected scorers have off-races (which could happen), FM becomes vulnerable.

Carmel IN ... Carmel has raced very well at NXN ... Carmel was 4th last year, 3rd in 2012, 5th in 2011 and 7th in 2010 ... Carmel has a very strong pack and the team goes 7 runners deep ... The entire team ran Footlocker Midwest as a tune-up for NXN ... Definitely a contender.

Great Oak CA ... Great Oak is very good and goes 7 runners deep ... Top runner Destiny Collins suffered an injury before the Mt. SAC Sweepstake race in October (tendonitis I believe), but Great Oak won despite Collins not scoring for the team ... Collins returned for Southern Section Finals and California States as Great Oak's top runner (but not quite at the performance level prior to the injury) ... To demonstrate the strength of Great Oak, had Destiny Collins not run at States, Great Oak still would have been the top California team ... Great Oak did not perform well in past NXN races at Portland Meadows, but maybe the new course at Glendoveer Golf Course will help.

Naperville North IL and Palatine IL ... Both Illinois teams raced very well NXN Midwest and their State Meet ... They were only 10 and 19 points behind Carmel at NXN Midwest ... Serious challengers for a podium spot.

Blacksburg VA ... Blacksburg ran very nicely in winning NXN Southeast ... Their State Meet win was not their best performance, but Blacksburg won the Great American Race of Champions by an impressive 49 points.

Saratoga NY ... Saratoga  has a young team again this season ... The starters at NXN include four freshmen and an 8th-grader (one senior, one junior) ... If Saratoga can duplicate their better performances of the season, they have a real shot at a podium position.

Wayzata MN ... Wayzata is the defending NXN champion, and their top two runners from last year's winning team (Anna French and Annika Lerdall) return ... Wayzata finished a very good 7th at NXN 2012.

Unionville PA ... Unionville popped a big season-best performance to win NXN Northeast impressively .. Duplicating that performance will result in a better finish than projected above.

Individual Race Comments:

This year's race is exceptionally deep and talented ... Fiona O'Keeffe is the top returning runner from NXN 2013 (she finished 4th behind Alexa Efraimson, Elise Cranny and Sarah Baxter) ... I believe Fiona O'Keeffe and Allie Ostrander should be considered co-favorites for this race ... both have run multiple speed ratings in the mid-to-upper 150s.

Girls that have qualified for both NXN and Footlocker include Paige Hofstad, Stephanie Jenks, Audrey Belf, Sarah Kettel and Annie Frisbie.

Paige Hofstad won NXN South ... Marissa Williams finished only 5 seconds behind Fiona O'Keeffe at California States ... Stephanie Jenks is an amazing tri-athlete, swimmer and runner ... Bella Burda has had an outstanding undefeated season in New York winning the NXN Regional, NY Federation and NY State Meet ... Ella Donaghu (the only high school runner who beat Alexa Efraimson in an XC race last year) won NXN Northwest and beat Allie Ostrander ... Jessica Lawson (second to Bella Burda in the NY races) should not be under-estimated in this type of race on this type of course ... Bethany and Megan Hasz ran one-two at NXN Heartland ... Katie Rainsberger was 6th at NXN last year, and I think she is faster than the 150 speed rating listed below ... Hard to believe the two Michigan girls (Audrey Belf and Sarah Kettel) are that far down the list below because I think both are serious contenders.

The top two team runners listed below are Destiny Collins and Danielle Jones ... Collins beat Jones in two head-to-head races during the season, but Destiny Collins suffered an unfortunate injury and is still recovering ... at her best, she's very close to O'Keeffe (whom she beat once) and Ostander.

This could be a really good race with lots of girls vying for a top five placing ... I'm expecting Ostrander and O'Keeffe to lead the race, but other girls below have shown quick starting tactics ... The last 1000 meters could be very interesting.

 
Top Individual Runners (Both Team & Individual):  
                                                             
                                                              Speed
  Name                Grade     School              State     Rating    Region
--------------------  -----    -------------------  -----     ------    ---------
Fiona O'Keeffe         11      Davis Senior           CA       156      California   ** Individual
Allie Ostrander        12      Kenai Central          AK       156      Northwest    ** Individual
Paige Hofstad          11      New Braunfels          TX       153      South        ** Individual
Marissa Williams       12      Palisades Charter      CA       153      California   ** Individual
Stephanie Jenks        12      Linn-Mar               IA       152      Heartland    ** Individual
Bella Burda            12      Arlington              NY       152      New York     ** Individual
Ella Donaghu           11      Grant                  OR       151      Northwest    ** Individual
Jessica Lawson         10      Corning                NY       151      New York     ** Individual
Bethany Hasz           11      Alexandria             MN       151      Heartland    ** Individual
Katie Rainsberger      11      Air Academy            CO       150      Southwest    ** Individual
Julia Heymach          10      Houston Lamar          TX       150      South        ** Individual
Megan Hasz             11      Alexandria             MN       150      Heartland    ** Individual
Devin Clark            12      Smithson Valley        TX       150      South        ** Individual
Destiny Collins        11      Great Oak              CA       150 ??   California
Danielle Jones         12      Desert Vista           AZ       149      Southwest
Lindsey Bradley        12      Richland               WA       149      Northwest    ** Individual
Olivia Sargent         11      Pennsbury              PA       149      Northeast    ** Individual
Audrey Belf            12      Birmingham Seaholm     MI       149      Midwest      ** Individual
Sarah Kettel           11      Capital Homeschool     MI       149      Midwest      ** Individual
Amber Gore             12      Redondo Union          CA       146      California   ** Individual
Abbey Wheeler          11      Elmira                 NY       145      New York     ** Individual
Rachel McArthur        10      Patriot                VA       145      Southeast    ** Individual
Allie Schadler         10      Rio Rico               AZ       144      Southwest    ** Individual
Anna Sophia Keller     10      St Anthony             IL       145      Midwest      ** Individual
Morgan Ilse            12      Marist                 GA       144      Southeast    ** Individual
Annie Frisbie          12      River Falls            WI       144      Heartland    ** Individual
Elly Henes             11      Green Hope             NC       144      Southeast
Anna French            12      Wayzata                MN       143      Heartland
Amanda Gehrich         11      Tesoro                 CA       143      California   ** Individual
Rachel Bonner          11      Port Huron             MI       143      Midwest      ** Individual
Lucy Biles             12      Herriman               UT       143      Southwest    ** Individual
Jordyn Kleve           12      Johnston               IA       142      Heartland    ** Individual
Taylor Cuneo           9       Central Magnet         TN       142      Southeast    ** Individual
Dominique Clairmonte   11      Lexington              OH       142      Midwest      ** Individual
Chloe Hansel           11      Las Lomas              CA       142      California   ** Individual
Olivia Young           12      Unionville             PA       141      Northeast
Courtney Wayment       11      Northridge             UT       140      Southwest    ** Individual
Emily Hamlin           12      Boise                  ID       140      Northwest    ** Individual
Emma Jenkins           9       Camas                  WA       140      Northwest
Brenna Peloquin        12      Gig Harbor             WA       139      Northwest    ** Individual
Aubrey Argyle          10      Davis                  UT       139      Southwest
Kelly O'Brien          11      Palatine               IL       138      Midwest
Spencer Hayes          12      Saratoga Springs       NY       138      New York
Samantha Ortega        12      Saugus                 CA       138      California
Sophia Ryan            9       Fayetteville-Manlius   NY       138      New York
Samantha Levy          11      Fayetteville-Manlius   NY       138      New York
Olivia Ryan            12      Fayetteville-Manlius   NY       137      New York
Annika Avery           12      Fayetteville-Manlius   NY       137      New York
Bonnie Angermeier      12      Blacksburg             VA       136      Southeast



Where the Girls Team Scores came from ... 
  (Overall Ratings based on NXN Regional, State Meet plus other available meets...
    See Girls Data File of Team Data ....)

Team Runners and Ratings by Team:  

                                                             Overall
                                                             Speed
  Name                Grade     School              State    Rating     Region
--------------------  -----    -------------------  -----    ------     ---------

Sammy Hollingsworth     10      American Fork         UT      129.4     Southwest
Cami Squires            10      American Fork         UT      129.1     Southwest
Maddie Bench            12      American Fork         UT      123.2     Southwest
Lexie Green             12      American Fork         UT      123.1     Southwest
Nikki Smith             12      American Fork         UT      122.9     Southwest
Katie Cornell           11      American Fork         UT      117.5     Southwest
Sophie Baird            11      American Fork         UT      111.0     Southwest

Bonnie Angermeier       12      Blacksburg            VA      135.8     Southeast
Jennifer Fleming        12      Blacksburg            VA      132.5     Southeast
Annie Kay Combs         10      Blacksburg            VA      126.4     Southeast
Samantha Marin          10      Blacksburg            VA      125.8     Southeast
Emily Beatty            12      Blacksburg            VA      118.4     Southeast
Olivia Hodge            11      Blacksburg            VA      110.3     Southeast
Mikayla Richardson      11      Blacksburg            VA      107.0     Southeast

Emma Jenkins            9       Camas                 WA      140.0     Northwest
Alissa Pudlitzke        12      Camas                 WA      133.8     Northwest
Emily Wilson            9       Camas                 WA      128.5     Northwest
Maddie Woodson          11      Camas                 WA      115.5     Northwest
Kaylee Merritt          9       Camas                 WA      112.0     Northwest
Brooke Roy              9       Camas                 WA      105.0     Northwest
Gabrielle Postma        9       Camas                 WA      103.0     Northwest

Haley Harris            12      Carmel                IN      134.0     Midwest
Madelyn Dalton          9       Carmel                IN      133.9     Midwest
Stacy Morozov           11      Carmel                IN      128.6     Midwest
Kelsey Harris           12      Carmel                IN      128.3     Midwest
Megan Kress             11      Carmel                IN      125.0     Midwest
Sarah Leinheiser        10      Carmel                IN      123.0     Midwest
Anna Schmitz            12      Carmel                IN      119.5     Midwest

Elisabeth Danis         11      Coe-Brown             NH      135.0     Northeast
Hannah Parker           12      Coe-Brown             NH      134.0     Northeast
Alli Pratt              10      Coe-Brown             NH      124.3     Northeast
Brooke Laskowsky        11      Coe-Brown             NH      120.5     Northeast
Julia Cormier           11      Coe-Brown             NH      108.5     Northeast
Katie Scannell          12      Coe-Brown             NH      86.0      Northeast
Meg Scannell            11      Coe-Brown             NH      85.0      Northeast

Kara Story              12      Coeur D'Alene         ID      133.5     Northwest
Josie Brown             12      Coeur D'Alene         ID      127.3     Northwest
Krista Story            12      Coeur D'Alene         ID      125.0     Northwest
Caitlin Conway          10      Coeur D'Alene         ID      116.9     Northwest
Merceydes Smith         10      Coeur D'Alene         ID      104.3     Northwest
Riley Fowler            9       Coeur D'Alene         ID      85.5      Northwest
Kaitlyn Gunnerson       12      Coeur D'Alene         ID      83.0      Northwest

Aubrey Argyle           10      Davis                 UT      139.0     Southwest
Ally Geisler            10      Davis                 UT      130.3     Southwest
Miah Weaver             10      Davis                 UT      120.4     Southwest
Sam Hedquist            11      Davis                 UT      116.9     Southwest
Josey Hedquist          12      Davis                 UT      113.8     Southwest
Grace Neuenschwander    10      Davis                 UT      110.0     Southwest
Tatum Beard             12      Davis                 UT      105.5 ?   Southwest

Danielle Jones          12      Desert Vista          AZ      148.0     Southwest
Baylee Jones            10      Desert Vista          AZ      131.0     Southwest
Amanda Davis            10      Desert Vista          AZ      121.2     Southwest
Haley Wolf              9       Desert Vista          AZ      119.0     Southwest
Madi Bucci              10      Desert Vista          AZ      110.0     Southwest
Kyra Lopez              12      Desert Vista          AZ      109.7     Southwest
Mason Swenson           11      Desert Vista          AZ      109.6     Southwest

Samantha Levy           11      Fayetteville-Manlius  NY      137.5     New York
Sophia Ryan             9       Fayetteville-Manlius  NY      136.2     New York
Olivia Ryan             12      Fayetteville-Manlius  NY      136.0     New York
Annika Avery            12      Fayetteville-Manlius  NY      134.3     New York
Jenna Farrell           11      Fayetteville-Manlius  NY      128.1     New York
Jessica Howe            12      Fayetteville-Manlius  NY      120.7     New York
Reilly Madsen           10      Fayetteville-Manlius  NY      115.9     New York

Destiny Collins         11      Great Oak             CA      145.0     California
Kiyena Beatty           10      Great Oak             CA      134.2     California
Emily Clause            11      Great Oak             CA      133.8     California
Sandra Pflughoft        9       Great Oak             CA      125.0     California
Maiya Larsen            12      Great Oak             CA      123.1     California
Desiree Stinger         11      Great Oak             CA      122.1     California
Sydney Belus            10      Great Oak             CA      122.0     California

Elly Henes              11      Green Hope            NC      144.0     Southeast
Theresa Enright         12      Green Hope            NC      123.8     Southeast
Elisa Sargent           12      Green Hope            NC      122.3     Southeast
Morgan Adams            11      Green Hope            NC      121.3     Southeast
Katie Tomasi            11      Green Hope            NC      121.2     Southeast
Kayla Hall              11      Green Hope            NC      111.1     Southeast
Emily Jordan            10      Green Hope            NC      105.6     Southeast

Eliza Rego              11      La Salle              RI      134.1     Northeast
Sheridan Wilbur         12      La Salle              RI      133.1     Northeast
Karina Tavares          11      La Salle              RI      132.0     Northeast
Audrey O'Neill          11      La Salle              RI      115.0     Northeast
Elise Papazian          11      La Salle              RI      111.5     Northeast
Michele Renzi           10      La Salle              RI      107.8     Northeast
Cianna Lynch            11      La Salle              RI      107.7     Northeast

Laura Fairchild         9       Lewisville Hebron     TX      132.1     South
Megan Montgomery        12      Lewisville Hebron     TX      129.5     South
Anna Elkin              11      Lewisville Hebron     TX      119.5     South
Amanda Case             10      Lewisville Hebron     TX      116.6     South
Abby Riordan            9       Lewisville Hebron     TX      115.6     South
Hannah Pettigrew        10      Lewisville Hebron     TX      94.5      South
Sarah Fairchild         11      Lewisville Hebron     TX      75.0      South

Madeline Reed           11      Lewisville Marcus     TX      131.7     South
Quinn Owen              9       Lewisville Marcus     TX      126.1     South
Payton Brown            11      Lewisville Marcus     TX      125.0     South
Emily Jeacock           12      Lewisville Marcus     TX      110.6     South
Ashton Hutcherson       11      Lewisville Marcus     TX      110.1     South
Emilia Ferreyra         9       Lewisville Marcus     TX      95.5      South
Miranda Vassh           11      Lewisville Marcus     TX      81.3      South

Judy Pendergast         11      Naperville North      IL      134.1     Midwest
Elly DeTurris           12      Naperville North      IL      131.6     Midwest
Claire Hamilton         10      Naperville North      IL      129.8     Midwest
Sarah Schmitt           9       Naperville North      IL      127.6     Midwest
Natalie Dunnett         9       Naperville North      IL      118.3     Midwest
Emily Hamilton          12      Naperville North      IL      118.2     Midwest
Jenny Gibson            11      Naperville North      IL      108.9     Midwest

Kelly O'Brien           11      Palatine              IL      138.6     Midwest
Amy Kieliszewski        12      Palatine              IL      130.1     Midwest
Megan Beach             12      Palatine              IL      128.0     Midwest
Sam Lechowicz           11      Palatine              IL      122.9     Midwest
Kara Burton             12      Palatine              IL      122.0     Midwest
Lauryn Simons           9       Palatine              IL      113.8     Midwest
Anna Buckstaff          10      Palatine              IL      107.3     Midwest

Spencer Hayes           12      Saratoga Springs      NY      138.3     New York
Peyton Engborg          9       Saratoga Springs      NY      130.1     New York
Paris Fenoff            8       Saratoga Springs      NY      125.6     New York
Gabrielle Robens        11      Saratoga Springs      NY      125.1     New York
Caroline Starace        9       Saratoga Springs      NY      124.9     New York
Carley Vetter           9       Saratoga Springs      NY      115.2     New York
Samantha Vetter         9       Saratoga Springs      NY      111.7     New York

Samantha Ortega         12      Saugus                CA      138.1     California
Ashley Heys             11      Saugus                CA      128.1     California
Mariah Castillo         9       Saugus                CA      124.0     California
Jessica Ruiz            12      Saugus                CA      122.3     California
Mackinzie Moncibais     12      Saugus                CA      119.1     California
Sabrina Janes           12      Saugus                CA      115.2     California
Abby Davis              9       Saugus                CA      109.1     California

Danielle Jordan         11      Shenendehowa          NY      133.3     New York
Caroline Rusch          12      Shenendehowa          NY      124.5     New York
Hannah Reale            9       Shenendehowa          NY      124.3     New York
Julia Zachgo            10      Shenendehowa          NY      124.2     New York
Emily Crounse           11      Shenendehowa          NY      119.6     New York
Charlotte Hartman       9       Shenendehowa          NY      117.9     New York
Caroline Hartman        11      Shenendehowa          NY      95.0      New York

Olivia Young            12      Unionville            PA      141.4     Northeast
Gretchen Mills          12      Unionville            PA      127.1     Northeast
Kacie Breeding          11      Unionville            PA      124.4     Northeast
Anna Juul               10      Unionville            PA      120.6     Northeast
Elizabeth Edwards       10      Unionville            PA      113.4     Northeast
Leah Talley             12      Unionville            PA      99.2      Northeast
Jillian Brislin         10      Unionville            PA      80.0      Northeast

Anna French             12      Wayzata               MN      143.0     Heartland
Annika Lerdall          10      Wayzata               MN      132.5     Heartland
Michaela Keller-Miller  11      Wayzata               MN      132.0     Heartland
Jaycie Thomsen          10      Wayzata               MN      119.1     Heartland
Sam Lettenberger        10      Wayzata               MN      115.4     Heartland
Melissa Drenckhahn      11      Wayzata               MN      110.1     Heartland
Ellie Emerick           9       Wayzata               MN      100.3     Heartland

Jessa Hanson            10      Willmar               MN      124.7     Heartland
Samantha Hanson         12      Willmar               MN      122.8     Heartland
Heidi Schmitz           8       Willmar               MN      121.8     Heartland
Sophie Schmitz          10      Willmar               MN      121.4     Heartland
Serena Monson           8       Willmar               MN      120.9     Heartland
Kayla Rudie             10      Willmar               MN      115.2     Heartland
Leah Hanson             8       Willmar               MN      103.4     Heartland